Saturday, August 9, 2014

Paper Pigskin Point Potential 2014 - Cincinnati Bengals

This is a series on my 2014 outlook of players you would want to have on your Paper Pigskin team (fantasy football). What you'll find here are my views based on years of playing experience and countless hours of geeking out researching stats, trends, and articles.  I'll advise where to reach and whose hype not to believe.

Tyler Eifert is one of my biggest sleepers

CINCINNATI BENGALS - Passing 259 ypg     Rushing 110 ypg

The Bengals are going to pound the ball on the ground under new Offensive Coordinator Hue Jackson. Jackson also promised the offense would be faster and more rhythmic than in years past. Reports out of camp are the Bengals have incorporated more no-huddle and are playing at a slightly quicker pace than they did under Jay Gruden.

QB:  Many will point to the emphasis on the rushing attack for reasons as to why Andy Dalton will drop off dramatically from his top 5 fantasy 2013 season, but I disagree. A more aggressive run game will bring defenses closer to the line of scrimmage and allow for an improved play-action passing. Dalton is getting the ball out of his hands quickly, according to Jackson, who has been beside himself with glee, giddy about his starting quarterback's calm, measured and "sensational" play that capped the first few weeks of training camp. The receivers have been more detailed in their route running, giving the QB more confidence with his anticipation, he should be more efficient. Overall I think on the contrary to popular belief, Dalton will have a top 10 season; he presents great value at his current QB17 ADP He had good reason to be happy.

RB:  Everybody loves Gio and for good reason, because as a change of pace back for the majority of last season, he finished as the 17th best RB (higher in ppr). So as the lead guy, he should be a lock for RB1 status right? According to Cincy running backs coach Kyle Caskey, his workload (170 carries, 56 rec) won't increase much but the types of plays being called for Giovani Bernard will be different. He currently rocks an RB11 ADP, which is a little too high for my taste, most coaches don't want to put much wear and tear on smallish backs. Besides teams don't trick off 2nd round picks on 235 lb running backs like Jeremy Hill for nothing, I think Hill has a legitimate shot at 200-plus carries with goal line touches to add. At and ADP of RB45, he's a bargain. The law firm is still on the roster, so anything can happen with Hill this season.

WR:  I don't need to waste much time telling you about AJ Green, you know his steez. However, I do expect his receptions to go down as they'll run often and spread the ball around more this season. He should see an uptick in his touchdown numbers because of the room he'll have in the secondary. He remains in the elite top 5 realm. Many are expecting Marvin Jones to get his this season, I'm not one of them. His ADP of WR50 seems about right.

TE:  Tyler Eifert will probably be the main beneficiary in the alteration in offensive philosophy. The points of emphasis the Bengals had this offseason revolved around figuring out how to get their tight ends more involved in the passing game. The hope has been to come up with ways to turn Tyler Eifert into more of a go-to pass-catcher. "He's been in the right spot," Andy Dalton said. "He's so talented with the ball in the air. He's got great ball skills and runs really good routes. That's why he's been able to get open and make big plays." This guy received a lot of love last season from fantasy pundits only to disappoint. To me, he's the best TE to fit the bill as post-hype breakout player. I can't believe he has an ADP of TE29. To quote Matthew Berry, "I'll be one of the last guys drafting a Tight End"

DEF:  One of the top defenses from last season will return virtually all of their key contributors, including All-Pro Geno Atkins, who missed the second half of 2013.  If the offense is as prolific as I expect it to be, the Bengals will control the clock and play with a lead for long periods; two reasons why this defense will play with more aggression and force turnovers.  They should be one of the first units snatched off the board.One of the top defenses from last season will return virtually all of their key contributors.

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